Originally published May 17, 2006.
Venture capital investors seem to have one major, common point of reference – the dot come bust of 2000-2001. That bust followed a record year of VC fundraising – some $106 billion in 2000 among top benchmark firms – and preceded a major fallout of invested dollars across the economy. The lessons learned all seem to point to greater discipline in VC investments, but that’s not holding back (re-)growth in VC fundraising. The Associated Press reported in April that venture capital firms had raised some $6 billion in the first quarter of this year, more than 20% over last year’s figure for the same quarter, with projected annual fundraising around $30 billion. (See the article as published in the Washington Post online: Venture Capital Fundraising Rises in 1Q.pdf.) [Update: The New YorkTimes ran an article suggesting that the renewed vigor in venture capital is not a sign of a new bubble: A Few Signs of Froth Do Not a Bubble Make]
The trends of last year indicated strong venture capital interest in “clean tech” and alternative energy as solar and wind technologies matured and new ventures generated profitable cash flows, buyouts, and IPOs. In fact, three of the top IPOs of 2005 were solar power companies, as reported by the Wharton Private Equity Review. [Update: See BW interview with Bill Joy, co-founder of Sun Microsystems and current partner at venture capital firm KPCB: Green: The Next Big Thing. He thinks greentech is going to provide the next Google in terms of revolutionary wealth-creation.)
Now, the energy market is showing no signs of decreased demand despite continually high gas prices. As Americans (and others around the world) effectively say “no” to conservation (see James Ellis’ op-ed piece in BW, No Sacrifices, Please), energy demand will continue to grow while limited stocks of fossil fuels (not to mention the political delicacies surrounding the international energy market) keeps a ceiling on supply. With the proven returns in solar and wind power, and wide interest and policy incentives in ethanol, biomass, and energy storage technologies, the stage could be set for continued successful investment in clean tech industries.
And hopefully in two years the stage will be set to hire this Darden MBA into a successful and growing VC clean tech fund.
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